Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2026

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 16, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-113/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has averaged 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are on the road (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 5.3 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Rockets.

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