Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2026

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Feb 28, 2026

Updated Feb 28, 2026 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home.

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