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Amen Thompson

Amen Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Amen Thompson has converted 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made overall this season.

Amen Thompson has played 37.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for threes; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).

The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson has attempted 5.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Amen Thompson has made 23.5% of his treys on the road this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

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