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Amen Thompson

Amen Thompson Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.

The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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