Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 9:27 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has sunk 63.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 13.6% more than he's made overall this year.
Amen Thompson has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The clash with Kyrie Irving comes in at just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs converting a whopping 50.0% of their field goal attempts this year when they are at home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has sunk 14.6% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 46.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.