Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has made 58.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road.
Amen Thompson has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.0 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has successfully made 18.3% of his three-point shots while on the road this year, ranking in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Amen Thompson has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season on the road.
As it relates to shooting, the Houston Rockets's subpar 108.2 points per game ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
Amen Thompson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.