Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 31.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Amen Thompson has converted 94.4% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% more than he's made overall this year while on his home court.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 113.4 points per game ranks 10th-fewest in the league this year.
The Raptors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Raptors are on the road, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 25.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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