Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Houston Rockets's stellar 27.0 free throw attempts per game away from their home court comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a mere 18.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson slots into the 13th percentile for three-point prowess away from home with a a bad 4.8% rate this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing teams have totaled the 5th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (14.0).
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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