Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson places in the 8th percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing on the road with a a weak 4.8% rate since the start of last season.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team has posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league against them this year (38.3%).
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.