Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged a terrific 3.3 offensive boards per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.4 offensive boards per game last year.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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