Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will likely see a spike in performance in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has posted a lowly 2.5 offensive rebounds per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.2 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Alperen Sengun has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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