Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 14.8 shots per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The matchup with Yves Missi comes in at the 96th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making a colossal 51.3% of their 3-point shots this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun slots into the 18th percentile for 3-point performance away from his home court with a poor 23.1% rate this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup against Yves Missi is a hard one for drawing fouls; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game (10th percentile).
Alperen Sengun will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production for all stats.