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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has made a whopping 8.3 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 5.9 rate last season.

Alperen Sengun has converted 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 28.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shooting, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.6 points per game away from home measures as the 7th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a tough one for threes; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made a mere 0.4 three-pointers per game (10th percentile).

This year, the other team has collected 12.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

Alperen Sengun figures to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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