Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Alperen Sengun has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.3%).
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a challenging one for threes; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a mere 31.4% of their three-pointers (7th percentile).
Without the home court advantage, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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