Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 68.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 32.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The clash with Jalen Duren ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs tallying an enormous 18.3 points per game this year when they are at home.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have averaged 50.6% on field goals (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

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