Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has posted 25.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's posted in all games this year.
Alperen Sengun has sunk 75.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 38.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the 76ers).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home.
While playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Paul Reed ranks in the 10th percentile with only 8.3 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.
The showdown with Paul Reed in terms of getting to the charity stripe lands in the 24th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.7 foul shots per game this year.

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