Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Alperen Sengun has successfully made 77.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 41.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Nurkic is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 13.2 field goals per game (100th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun lands in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted an enormous 24.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the league).

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