Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 8:04 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted an impressive 8.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.9 rate last year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).
As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the foul line: 7th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying 25.4 free throw attempts per game.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have compiled 11.0 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, creating a difficult matchup for offensive output.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 69.8% mark, Alperen Sengun's foul-shot performance has regressed this season to 56.8%.