Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 10.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Houston Rockets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one; they have allowed the 24th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.9).
The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Houston Rockets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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