Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase plays for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; when the Spurs are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.2).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Spurs are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).