Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The matchup vs. James Wiseman is a positive one for three-point attempts; when Wiseman is at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted an enormous 5.0 three-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs over the last 10 games (7.3).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Alperen Sengun will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.