Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 26.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 3.4 free throws per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year when playing at home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year on their home court, which ought to reduce [OPPORTUNITIES_POSSESSIONS] for the Clippers.
The matchup against the Clippers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (39.7%).
Alperen Sengun will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production across the board.