Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 66.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year at home.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (which also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for scoring; their opposition have compiled the 5th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year when playing away from home (46.2%).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has attempted 0.6 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs since the start of last season (12.0).