Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has played 32.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The rate of three-pointers made against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably high (47.1%) when he is away from his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The 4th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will likely get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets rank 9thworst in in the league when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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