Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has played 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
While on the road and guarding fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 97th percentile with a monstrous 2.9 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun places in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Rockets check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can spark more chances for offense).

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