Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for three-point shots; the other team's starting Cs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (52.8%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Rockets.
With the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has failed to convert 1.7 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.5 mark last season.
Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 fouls per game last year.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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