Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:24 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged 4.0 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun places in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Alperen Sengun will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.0 fouls per game while at home this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

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