Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has totaled a terrific 4.9 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.9 assists per game last season.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.
This year, the other team has collected 12.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).
Alperen Sengun figures to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.