Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has totaled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the league on their home court this year.
The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.
Alperen Sengun will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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