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Alexandre Sarr

Alexandre Sarr Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Alexandre Sarr Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alex Sarr has attempted 16.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.
  • Alex Sarr has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc converted against Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably high (38.7%) when he is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year (80th percentile).
  • The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Wizards rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alex Sarr has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (80th percentile).
  • In terms of offense, the Wizards's poor 108.8 points per game places 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • The showdown with Domantas Sabonis in terms of getting to the charity stripe lands in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year.

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