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Alexandre Sarr

Alexandre Sarr Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2025

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Alexandre Sarr Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The number of points posted against Mason Plumlee has been quite high (18.2 per game) when he is on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards grade out 8th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when Plumlee is playing on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.7 free throws per game (100th percentile).
  • Alexandre Sarr will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alexandre Sarr has missed 6.2 field goals per game playing at home this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile for misses at home.
  • Out of all players in the league, Alexandre Sarr comes in at the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Wizards's lackluster 104.2 points per game places 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Suns have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards.
  • Out of all players in the league, Alexandre Sarr measures in the 16th percentile for foul-shot performance with a subpar 62.8% rate this year.

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