Alexandre Sarr Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Alexandre Sarr

C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:45 PM EST

Analysis

Alexandre Sarr Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alexandre Sarr has attempted 5.0 threes per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in regard to shots made from the field.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a spike in plays today from being pitted against the 8th-fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Warriors).
Alexandre Sarr stands to see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when Jackson-Davis is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have sunk just 19.2% of their attempts from downtown (4th percentile).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).