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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Al Horford ranks in the 75th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a an outstanding 40.1% rate this year.

With respect to offense, the Celtics's excellent 123.2 points per game settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's made in all games this season.

Al Horford is expected to see a spike in output in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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