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Al Horford

Al Horford Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Al Horford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Al Horford has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 25.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Al Horford has sunk 35.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games, -10.0% less than he's put through the net overall this year.

Al Horford has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.9).

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

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