Ajay Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Ajay Mitchell

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2026

Updated May 11, 2026 10:33 PM EST

Analysis

Ajay Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ajay Mitchell has averaged 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.