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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
A.J. Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • AJ Green has converted 70.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 15.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year away from home.
  • The Bucks have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • The Bucks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last year's 1.2 rate, AJ Green's three-point shots made have risen this year to 2.5 per game.
  • AJ Green has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
  • The Bucks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
  • The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Out of all players in the league, AJ Green registers in the 7th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, registering a mere 0.2 free throws per game without the home court advantage this year.

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