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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/20/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Nesmith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch of games: 76th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's played in all games this season.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.

Aaron Nesmith will likely get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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