My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/29/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Aaron Nesmith has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

Compared to last year's 81.5% clip, Aaron Nesmith's foul-shot efficiency has risen this year to 90.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup against New York is a tough one for scoring; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have compiled the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (33.3%).

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™