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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2025

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.9 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 119.0 points per game places strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for threes; when the Knicks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (48.0%).

The Pacers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season.

The Pacers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo away team in the league this year (the Knicks).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

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