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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 12.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this year.

Compared to last year's 3.5 rate, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 2.5.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting SFs have put up 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the 76ers, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production across the board.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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