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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed a measly 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.5 fouls per game last year.

The Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.

In comparison to last season's 81.5% clip, Aaron Nesmith's free-throw performance has jumped this season to 94.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Aaron Nesmith ought to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

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