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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 55.8% of his shots from the field away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 79th percentile for 3-point shots drained, logging 1.8 per game since the start of last season.

With respect to offense, the Pacers's stellar 117.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one; when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production across the board.

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