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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith places in the 91st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an exceptional 40.5% rate since the start of last season.

The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (100th percentile).

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a challenging matchup.

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the foul line: 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season, tallying a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup against the Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the league).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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