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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/9/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 94th percentile for three-point prowess while at home with a a great 52.8% rate this year.

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home, opposing clubs have shot for the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (34.9%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league as the home team this year.

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks).

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (preserving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the foul line playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 18.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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