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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.6 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 95th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

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