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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has put up 2.8 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games.

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon figures to get a boost in output across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

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