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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has totaled 2.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Rockets).

Aaron Gordon is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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