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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has totaled a whopping 2.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.8 offensive rebounds per game last year.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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