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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 6.6 rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.

Aaron Gordon has played 36.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this year.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production across the board.

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