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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 3.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season.

Aaron Gordon has played 30.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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